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Argument From Wishful Thinking Fallacy

Updated Apr 8, 2023

The Argument from Wishful Thinking Fallacy: A Critical Examination


In the realm of logical fallacies, the Argument from Wishful Thinking is one that often goes unnoticed. This fallacy occurs when someone forms a belief or argument based solely on what they wish to be true, rather than on any objective evidence or logical reasoning. In this article, we will delve into the concept of the Argument from Wishful Thinking fallacy, explore its implications, and provide examples to better understand this common error in reasoning.

Understanding the Fallacy

The Argument from Wishful Thinking fallacy is rooted in human nature's innate desire for certain outcomes to be true. It often emerges when individuals hold strong emotional attachments to a particular belief or conclusion, leading them to ignore or dismiss contrary evidence. This fallacy occurs when someone's wishful thoughts or desires become the foundation for their reasoning, without any genuine justification.

Examples of the Argument from Wishful Thinking Fallacy

To grasp the concept of this fallacy more clearly, let's consider a few examples:

Example 1: The Lottery Dreamer

Imagine a person who dreams of winning the lottery every night. Convinced that their dreams are a sign, they decide to invest their entire life savings in lottery tickets. They base their belief solely on their wish to become wealthy overnight, ignoring the astronomical odds against winning.

Example 2: Health Conspiracy Theorist

A person who believes in conspiracy theories surrounding health and medicine may dismiss scientific evidence and opt for alternative remedies that align with their desires. Despite overwhelming evidence supporting conventional treatments, they fall victim to the belief that their preferred treatments will magically cure their ailments.

Impact and Consequences

Engaging in the Argument from Wishful Thinking fallacy can lead to several negative consequences. Firstly, it can hinder critical thinking and rational decision-making. By disregarding evidence, individuals may make poor choices and fail to consider the potential risks or drawbacks of their actions. Additionally, this fallacy can perpetuate misinformation and reinforce biases, as people seek out evidence that confirms their wishes rather than engaging with opposing viewpoints.

Avoiding the Argument from Wishful Thinking

To avoid falling into the trap of wishful thinking fallacy, it is crucial to cultivate a mindset of critical thinking and intellectual honesty. Here are a few strategies to help:

  1. Embrace skepticism: Approach claims and beliefs with a healthy dose of skepticism, regardless of personal desires or emotions involved.
  2. Seek diverse perspectives: Actively engage with differing viewpoints and consider alternative explanations or possibilities.
  3. Look for evidence: Base beliefs and arguments on objective evidence, logical reasoning, and empirical data rather than wishful desires.
  4. Consider potential biases: Reflect on personal biases that may influence your thinking and be open to challenging and questioning them.
  5. Be open to changing your mind: Be willing to revise beliefs or opinions when presented with compelling evidence or logical reasoning.


The Argument from Wishful Thinking fallacy is a common yet often overlooked reasoning error. It occurs when individuals form beliefs or arguments based solely on what they wish to be true, disregarding evidence and logical reasoning. Recognizing and avoiding this fallacy is crucial for maintaining intellectual integrity, promoting rational decision-making, and engaging in constructive dialogue. By embracing skepticism, seeking diverse perspectives, and relying on evidence, we can navigate through the pitfalls of wishful thinking and approach arguments with a more critical and objective mindset.

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